Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

ZE

Zeo Energy Corp. (ESAC)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2024 revenue was $14.71M, down 51% year-over-year; gross margin improved to 29.8% from 18.7% as operational efficiencies and lower materials costs offset volume decline; adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $0.68M (4.6% margin) while GAAP net loss was $1.29M .
  • Management emphasized a shift toward profitability and expansion into Ohio and Illinois; CFO Cannon Holbrook was appointed to strengthen finance, reporting, and M&A capabilities .
  • The company disclosed a material weakness and filed a non-reliance 8-K on Aug 2, 2024 to correct misstatements in prior filings (FY 2023 and Q1 2024), which is an overhang until remediation is complete .
  • Zeo did not provide quantified guidance; the near-term narrative centers on margin resilience, sales re-ignition later in 2024, and potential consolidation/M&A as industry conditions normalize .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Gross margin expanded to 29.8% (vs 18.7% YoY) on improved labor efficiency and reduced materials costs despite lower sales volume .
  • Adjusted EBITDA turned positive: $0.68M in Q2 (4.6% margin), reflecting disciplined cost management and a flexible operating model; “we have successfully navigated through this turbulent period thanks to our flexible operating model and disciplined expense management” — CEO Tim Bridgewater .
  • Market expansion momentum: “recent launch into the Ohio and Illinois markets has been encouraging, and we’ll be looking to build on our initial progress” — CEO Tim Bridgewater .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line pressure: revenue fell 51% YoY to $14.71M, with management citing higher interest rates weighing on residential solar direct sales demand .
  • Earnings headwinds: GAAP net loss of $1.29M; stock compensation expense of $2.42M in the quarter (none in Q2 2023) impacted bottom-line performance .
  • Controls overhang: audit committee determined previously issued FY 2023 and Q1 2024 statements should not be relied upon; material weakness in ICFR disclosed with plans to amend filings .

Financial Results

Core Financials vs Prior Periods and Prior Year

MetricQ2 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$30.08 $23.36 $19.49 $14.71
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$5.60 $3.10 $1.80 $4.40
Gross Margin (%)18.7% 13.4% 9.5% 29.8%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.80 $(0.14) $(1.70) $(1.29)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1.32 $1.32 $(1.15) $0.68
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)4.4% 5.6% (5.9%) 4.6%

Notes:

  • Adjusted EBITDA definition excludes stock-based compensation (Q2 2024) and, in prior periods, also excluded M&A expenses where specified .

Revenue Composition

Revenue BreakdownQ1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue, net of financing fees ($USD Millions)$10.68 $7.71
Related party revenue, net of financing fees ($USD Millions)$8.81 $7.00
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$19.49 $14.71

Additional KPIs

KPIQ2 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$0.83 $0.14 $(1.61) $(2.20)
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$8.02 $7.73 $5.34

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no quantified guidance)
MarginsFY 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no quantified guidance)
Sales activity2H 2024N/AManagement expects to “reignite” sales efforts later in 2024Qualitative update
M&A postureOngoingN/ACFO appointed; evaluating strategic M&A opportunitiesQualitative update
Tax rate, OI&E, OpEx, dividendsFY 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no quantified guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q2 2024 earnings call transcript could not be located in the available corpus; themes below reflect management commentary from Q2/Q1/Q4 releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023 & Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Profitability focusAsset-light model supported full-year 2023 adj. EBITDA of $11.2M; pricing/financing initiatives; public listing completed Emphasis on profitability amid industry turbulence; positive Q2 adj. EBITDA Strengthening margin discipline despite revenue pressure
Market expansionOpened Missouri (FY23); planning expansion in 2024 Entered Ohio and Illinois; early results encouraging Expansion continuing; execution focus
Macro headwinds (rates)Headwinds noted around financing and industry conditions Higher rates cited for lower demand and sales Persistent, expected to dissipate over time
Sales force trajectorySeasonal ramp expected; returning managers/new reps in coming quarters Plans to “reignite” sales later in 2024 Rebuild underway for 2H24
Controls and reportingPublic company transition; transaction costs impacted Q4/Q1 Non-reliance 8-K, material weakness; remediation planned Controls remediation critical near term
Strategic M&ANot highlighted priorCFO appointment to support M&A pursuit Offensive posture as consolidation unfolds

Management Commentary

  • “We believe we have successfully navigated through this turbulent period thanks to our flexible operating model and disciplined expense management.” — CEO Tim Bridgewater .
  • “We anticipate that this offensive stance will mean reigniting our sales efforts… later this year… and… pursue strategic M&A opportunities currently available in the market.” — CEO Tim Bridgewater .
  • On CFO appointment: “Cannon’s extensive experience… and proven track record in financial leadership make him the ideal choice for our CFO position.” — CEO Tim Bridgewater .

Q&A Highlights

  • A full Q2 2024 earnings call transcript was not available in the document set; no Q&A details could be verified. Management’s prepared remarks indicate near-term sales re-ignition, margin discipline, and exploration of M&A, with no quantified guidance ranges provided .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) for Q2 2024 and comparison periods was unavailable through the tool at the time of request; therefore, results cannot be benchmarked to Wall Street estimates here. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Where estimates may need to adjust: Given a 51% YoY revenue decline but meaningful gross margin improvement and positive adjusted EBITDA, consensus models (when available) should reflect a lower near-term revenue base with higher gross margin assumptions due to operational efficiencies and mix shifts noted by management .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin resilience despite volume compression: gross margin at 29.8% and positive adjusted EBITDA signal cost discipline and efficiency gains even as demand softened; this underpins downside protection while revenue normalizes .
  • Rebuild and expansion set the stage for 2H: sales efforts planned to “reignite” later in 2024 and new geographies (Ohio/Illinois) provide catalysts for sequential recovery if macro rates pressure subsides .
  • Controls remediation is a must-watch: the Aug 2 non-reliance 8-K and material weakness require close monitoring; timely remediation and amended filings are essential to investor confidence .
  • Strategic optionality via M&A: CFO appointment strengthens finance/reporting and M&A execution capacity; potential consolidation could accelerate growth and scale in Zeo’s core residential solar footprint .
  • Near-term trading setup: absent quantified guidance and consensus benchmarks, stock may trade on operational milestones (sales force ramp, cash trends, adj. EBITDA trajectory) and controls remediation headlines; watch quarterly cash burn and adj. EBITDA margins for signal quality .
  • Medium-term thesis: if interest-rate headwinds ease and sales ramp returns, operating leverage from improved cost structure and expanded markets can drive revenue stabilization and margin persistence, with optionality from accretive M&A .

Appendix: Source Documents Reviewed

  • Q2 2024 8-K with earnings press release and exhibits, including CFO press release .
  • Q1 2024 8-K with earnings press release .
  • Q4 2023 8-K with corrected earnings press release .
  • Aug 2, 2024 8-K (non-reliance; material weakness disclosure) .

Non-GAAP definitions: Adjusted EBITDA excludes stock-based compensation in Q2 2024; prior period definitions also excluded M&A-related expenses where noted .